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A preliminary public review period for the Draft 2050 Population and Employment forecasts for 31 counties in the New York Metropolitan Region will open Thursday, November 20, 2014 and close at 4 p.m. on Wednesday, December 3, 2014. The draft 2050 population and employment regional forecasts are components of the Socioeconomic and Demographic Forecasts produced by NYMTC for use in the next Regional Transportation Plan.

A webinar will be held on Tuesday, November 25, 2014 at 2 pm to provide an overview of methodology and preliminary results.

Click here to register for the webinar.
Meeting ID: 645 668 009
Password: NYMTC2050
Call in information is provided upon registration.

Download:
Overview
Forecast Tables
Presentation Slides

Comments should be sent in writing by 4 p.m., December 3, 2014 to:

New York Metropolitan Transportation Council                 
Attn:  Larisa Morozovskaya
25 Beaver Street, Suite 201,
New York, NY 10004
E-Mail:larisa.morozovskaya@dot.ny.gov 
Phone: (212) 383-7222


Products

2050 Forecasts

PDF icon

Final White Paper on Methodology for 2050 SED Forecasts


2040 Forecasts

Adoption of revised 2040 Population and Employment forecasts, 1/24/2013

PDF icon Resolution #351 (PDF)
excel lolgo Tables from Resolution #351 (Excel)

Technical Memorandum (TM)

PDF icon 2040 Final Draft County report
2040 Forecasts Modeling Methodology
County/Subregional Level
Submitted by NYMTC in June 2012
PDF icon 2040 Final Draft TAZ report
2040 Forecasts Modeling Methodology
TAZ Allocation
Submitted by NYMTC in June 2012

2040 Population Employment Tables

County level 2040 Population and Employment forecasts were adopted by PFAC on 9/15/11

PDF icon 2040 Population Table
PDF icon 2040 Employment Table
excel lolgo 2040 Population/Employment Tables (Excel)

The draft report on the 2040 Population and Employment forecasts for 31 counties in the New York metropolitan region is available for download by clicking here. This report was prepared for the public comments period which took place in summer of 2011.

The public meetings presentation is also available by clicking here.

Federal regulations direct metropolitan planning organizations to prepare and adopt long range economic forecasts for their regions to be used in transportation and land use analysis. The draft 2040 population and employment regional forecasts are components of the Socioeconomic and Demographic Forecasts produced by NYMTC for use in the 2015-2040 Regional Transportation Plan.

 

2035 Forecasts

2035 Demographic and Socioeconomic Forecasts describing models, data inputs and forecasts for:
  1. Employment by NAICS supersector (total employment, payroll by industry, proprietors)
  2. Population (total population, household population, group quarters population, enrollment ages)
  3. Labor Force (total civilian, employed residents)
  4. Households (total households, average household size, income)

2035 Final Forecast Tables

PDF icon Tables Total Employment, Payroll Employment, Proprietors Employment, Population, Civilian labor Force, Employed Civilian labor Force, Households, Group Quarters, Household Population, Average Household Size (11/16/2009)
excel lolgo Tables (Excel)

Technical Memorandum (TM)

TM 2.8.2 Project Web Site: Assessment of Technical Framework (10/22/2007)
TM 1.4.5.2 Modeling Methodology at County/Subregional Level (10/19/2007)
TM 1.1.5.5 NJ Land Use & Floorspace Database (1/14/2008)
TM 1.1.5.1 Plan for Land Use and Floor Space Data Collection and Integration (3/22/2007)
TM 1.4.5.1 White Paper on Methodology to be Used at County/Subregional level (10/10/2007)
TM 11.5.8 2002-2005 County/Subregion Time Series (09/20/2007)
TM 1.1.5.7 2005 SEDs Data Inputs for NYBPM (10/2/2007)
TM 1.1.5.2 NYC Land Use and Floor Space Database (12/05/2007)

 

2030 Forecasts

Technical Memorandum (TM)

TM 4.1.2 CountyLevel Demographic and Socioeconomic Forecasts, Years 2002-2030 (6/15/2005)
TM 4.1.3 TAZ Level Demographic and Socioeconomic Forecasts, Years 2002-2030 (8/17/2005)

2005-2030 Regional Transportation Plan

PDF icon Appendix 2030 Demographic and Socioeconomic Forecasts (PDF)
excel lolgo Appendix 2030 Demographic and Socioeconomic Forecasts (Excel)


Incorporation of the Consensus 2030 Population and Employment Forecasts into the Draft RTP, adopted by PFAC
Resolution #190
(9/23/2004)

Post September 11, 2001 Impacts

TM 3.1 Inventory of Affected Businesses: Their Characteristics and Aftermath (4/23/2002)
TM 3.1 - 3.2
Inventory of Affected Businesses: Telephone and Mail Surveys of Affected Businesses: Their Characteristics and Aftermath (12/5/2002)
TM 3.3 Report of Findings and Re-benchmarked Forecasts